Monday, June 18, 2007

Lineup Strength and Position Player Rater

I run my players through a formula that recalculates their overall values to something I feel is a little more in line with production. So I decided to expand it for the entire league. Its not rocket science, just focuses on some of the more important attributes and tries to penalize for low numbers in certain areas. For example a bad player with a 99 health rating is still bad, but a great player with a 30 health rating is taken down a notch or two. I will also admit that it does suppress the value the elite base stealers of the league. I would almost rather devalue the 3-5 true game changing lead-off players (ala Rickey Henderson) than to overvalue the 20-30 guys that are one dimensional (ala Tony Womack)

It obviously fluctuates, but we keep a little over 400 position players at the big league level. Below is rough estimate of how many players in each range there were and how I would categorize the values.

how many players rated 20-49 70 (usually one dimensional or just bad)
how many players rated 50-59 86 (below average ML players)
how many players rated 60-69 100 (Average ML talent)
how many players rated 70-79 87 (Above Average Player)
how many players rated 80-89 40 (all-star)
how many players rated 90-100 23 (HOFers)

This is a list of how the average lineup rated. I just rated the top 10 players so in most cases I dropped the worst two players from each team so as not to penalize a team that kept a lowly rated player as a specialist (defensive specialist, pinch runner, LH power, backup catcher, etc) except in the cases of a couple of team that have 10 or less position players.

Team Avg Rating
HOU 80.02
SCO 77.80
MNT 76.72
ARI 76.57
NY 75.94
HAR 74.66
TOR 74.06
ATL 73.64
CH2 72.02
SAC 71.42
RIC 70.32
BOS 69.64
SFE 69.56
CSP 69.24
IND 68.82
LV 68.23
STL 68.16
CLE 67.98
MEM 67.61
MIN 66.73
OK 65.42
TEX 64.66
CIN 64.40
AUS 63.52
SAL 63.45
SLC 62.38
LA 60.13
WAS 59.53
MIL 58.66
MON 57.01
FLA 55.13

I have also included a list of currently Rated Top 100 players. This doesn't take into account future projections, just how they are rated for this season. I don't mind sending someone the entire list, but its way to long for the blog.

Name Team Age Rating
Tim Smith HOU 31 104.56
Darrel Perez SCO 27 102.33
Rusty Jones SCO 30 100.27
Doug Connelly ARI 30 99.94
Dick Yeats ARI 33 98.35
Derrick Flynn SFE 26 97.25
Glenn Kubenka MEM 25 96.12
George Spence CH2 30 96.07
Rafael Cedeno SAC 24 95.52
Carlos Johnson HAR 24 95.50
Robert Black HAR 30 94.99
Al Pena RIC 31 94.91
Sam Rivera LOU 29 94.79
Mark Lee LA 30 93.59
Mark Ross NY1 28 93.15
Vic Saenz ATL 33 93.14
Steve Taylor HOU 22 92.89
Pablo Johnson MNT 28 92.65
Homer Monroe MEM 26 91.95
Tony Chang ARI 28 91.40
Vladimir Goya CLE 25 91.33
Raul Gonzalez SLC 24 90.80
Dan West TOR 32 90.28
Hugh Moore MNT 32 89.46
Alan O'Malley MIN 24 89.31
Benito Vazquez MNT 27 89.16
Enrique Ruiz RIC 26 89.13
Alex Green SCO 25 88.82
Tony Rivera ATL 26 88.11
Albert Guzman WAS 31 87.83
Kiki Lopez NY1 25 87.77
Walt Keeler MIN 27 87.60
Stan Jackson CH2 27 86.89
Del Castro SAC 24 86.76
Bey Buckley ATL 24 86.62
Carlos Javier TOR 31 86.60
Ken Jefferies MIL 25 86.39
Ricardo Santana ARI 25 86.23
Ozzie Dougherty HOU 32 85.90
Bonk Linton BOS 25 85.88
Brian Scott STL 30 85.67
Mendy Messmer STL 30 85.40
Tim Durbin SCO 23 85.01
David Pineiro HOU 33 84.85
Ben Musial TEX 30 84.30
Willie Sikorski IND 31 84.21
Chili Olsen HOU 22 83.08
John Blank BOS 25 83.05
Carl Cochrane MIN 24 82.55
Yamid Sierra TOR 27 82.41
Brady Reese MNT 31 82.38
Wes Davies OK 24 82.37
Tim Lincoln AUS 28 82.20
Jon Zentmeyer CSP 27 82.09
Cliff Brocail MNT 27 81.85
Barry Durocher STL 31 81.27
Heath DeRosa HAR 27 81.15
Buddy Munoz LV 28 80.83
Aaron Cooke SAL 33 80.78
Danys Ramirez LOU 22 80.77
Jim Stewart RIC 30 80.47
Victor Maradona LV 27 80.44
Kirk Jenkins NY1 30 80.36
Paul Ogawa MNT 21 80.30
Carlos Martin IND 29 80.18
Will Ford ATL 30 80.16
Lawrence Trammell BOS 23 79.94
Ralph Kydd CH2 32 79.62
Ernest Strange FLA 34 79.05
Miguel Cruz CIN 21 78.87
Don Melhuse SLC 26 78.78
Alex Cordero NY1 23 78.64
Julio Guerrero MEM 29 78.61
Geoff Leonard NY1 25 78.41
Rudy Griffiths CLE 28 78.21
Otis Martin SAC 27 78.21
Thom House ARI 29 77.99
T.J. Hornsby LV 29 77.70
Brian Maeda LOU 32 77.58
Buddy Parrish CH2 32 77.33
Sammy Vega LA 31 77.27
Happy McNamara ARI 27 77.05
Willie Hawkins HAR 31 76.89
Archie Saunders CLE 30 76.77
Mark Bradley TOR 24 76.61
Gus Andrews AUS 29 76.42
Pedro Mesa SFE 23 76.30
Yogi Lieberthal HOU 30 76.17
Joe Hansen HAR 28 76.08
Eli Oliva CIN 22 76.05
Timothy Bryne HOU 23 75.90
Sammy Dillon CIN 30 75.63
Dennis Burnitz IND 24 75.48
Hong-Jin Ramirez LA 34 75.40
Preston Riggs WAS 29 75.14
Stewart Stieb CH2 26 75.11
Cristobal Alvarez SAC 31 75.11
Juan Castillo FLA 30 74.78
Ben Busby SAL 27 74.19
Achilles McMurtry MON 28 74.14
Greg Brinkley NY1 29 74.06

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